The pendulum may be swinging back in favor of the trades: JLL

The pendulum may be swinging back in favor of the trades: JLL


Facilities management teams and building organizations are bringing new talent into the skilled trades, and the opportunities they’re offering are becoming increasingly attractive to younger workers, experts say. 

Buildings’ increasing complexity and strong construction activity in high-growth sectors are expanding the need for skilled trades, according to JLL’s skilled trades talent research report, released in April. These trends are creating demand for workers with advanced skills that can handle more complex building assets, mechanical and electrical specifications and health and safety regulations, the report states. 

Though U.S. labor conditions aren’t as tight as they were immediately after the pandemic, demand for skilled trades has been surpassing demand for other major job categories, with annual job postings doubling over the past decade. This outsized growth is expected to continue as the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure and the emphasis on energy efficiency and emissions reduction drive the need for electricians and HVAC technicians in particular. The wave of older workers nearing retirement is also driving demand. 

“It’s been building over a number of years,” Paul Morgan, global chief operating officer of real estate management services at JLL, told Facilities Dive. Skilled labor demand is “more acute now than we’ve seen before. And the reason that it’s probably becoming more acute is the fact that we’ve got a retirement cliff that’s building.” 

From 2024 to 2034, employment is projected to grow 9.5% for electricians, 8.1% for HVAC technicians, 6% for construction workers and 4.5% for plumbers, pipefitters and steamfitters, according to JLL, citing data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This compares with a 3.1% increase during that time for all occupations, the report says. 

Existing talent pipelines are not sufficient to meet the demand: Some 2.1 million skilled trade jobs are expected to go unfilled by 2030, potentially resulting in $1 trillion in annual economic losses. Last year, only about 150,000 new workers entered the skilled trades labor pool through apprenticeship programs, compared with the nearly 600,000 jobs that were posted for major skilled trade positions in the U.S., JLL says in its report. 

“The pendulum, however, may be swinging back,” the JLL report states, in part because of the high costs of higher education and the uncertain job outlook for those with four-year degrees. 

College tuition has risen 900% since 1983, nearly double the growth rate of medical costs and four times that of housing prices, the JLL report states. “The math is recalibrating” the demand for training by young people, JLL says. 

To attract new labor and develop talent in the skilled trades, some organizations are working to lower the barrier of entry to education and help train technicians in the field. 

Unlimited Service Group, a coalition of companies that service commercial kitchens across the U.S., has bolstered its worker pipeline using an in-house training school, Training Unlimited, according to Kristen Nowak, USG president of field services. 

The training process involves “a mix of sitting in a classroom [and] traditional school learning, plus some hands-on equipment learning within that classroom,” Nowak told Facilities Dive. “And then we pair [trainees] with senior technicians out in the field. It’s that mix of classroom and on-the-job [training] that we think is really critical. That is the ticket to moving them into a [role as a] future technician in our industry.”  

The proportion of students and teens considering apprenticeships, vocational schools and technical programs more than tripled from 2018 to 2024, from 12% to 38%, signaling a “generational shift in career expectations,” JLL says. Community college enrollment has also risen 12% over the past five years, compared with 3% growth in enrollment at four-year institutions. Trades-related majors are among the fastest-growing programs at two-year schools. 



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