• On November 26, 2025, NN STEEL Corporation announced it had finalized a joint venture agreement with Nippon Steel to establish a consolidated subsidiary focused on low CO2 electric arc furnace steel production.
• This collaboration is designed to accelerate the shift toward greener steel manufacturing by increasing resource recycling and lowering emissions in response to growing market demand.
• We’ll explore how this expansion into low-emissions electric arc furnace capacity may impact Nippon Steel’s longer-term investment narrative.

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What Is Nippon Steel’s Investment Narrative?

For shareholders, believing in Nippon Steel means seeing real value in its transition toward greener steel production, especially as the company recently finalized a joint venture to ramp up electric arc furnace capacity and cut CO2 emissions. This move could be a meaningful short-term catalyst, as it addresses both rising market demand for low-emission steel and ongoing regulatory pressures. However, it’s coming at a time when profitability remains a central challenge, given recent losses and reduced dividends. The expansion into electric furnaces may help with cost competitiveness, but near-term risks, such as tight cash flows, the need to deliver on ambitious investment plans, and the pressure to achieve forecasted profit growth, are now even more important. The joint venture brings new execution risk, and the ability to deliver tangible results will be watched closely alongside ongoing margin pressures.

But with execution risk rising, investors should look closer at the company’s operating targets.

Nippon Steel’s shares are on the way up, but they could be overextended by 40%. Uncover the fair value now.

Exploring Other Perspectives

The Simply Wall St Community’s fair value estimates for Nippon Steel span from ¥453 up to a very large ¥5,500 across four distinct opinions. This wide variance reflects differing views on the company’s growth potential, especially as it faces both fresh expansion catalysts and the new risks that come with executing on its green steel plans. Explore these perspectives to see where your view might fit as the company navigates a challenging earnings environment.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Nippon Steel – why the stock might be worth over 8x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Nippon Steel Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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